2024-03-28T13:41:20Zhttp://uvadoc.uva.es/oai/requestoai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/198372021-06-30T07:02:12Zcom_10324_5191com_10324_5186com_10324_29291col_10324_5192
Terrorist incidents and counter terrorist policies: a system dynamics model
Pajares de Mena, María del Mar
Ediciones Universidad de Valladolid
Economía política
Economía de empresa
According to the Global Terrorism Database, Asia was the continent that suffers the highest number of terrorist attacks and the highest number of casualties during the period 1998-2007. One of the numerous terrorist organizations operating on its territory is Lashkar e Taiba (LeT) that was created in 1999. From its inception to 2007, it has staged ninety attacks generating 1,945 casualties. This paper presents a system dynamics model to try to reproduce the number of monthly incidents of that organization. The construction is carried out adapting to the organization those feedback processes that explain the survival over time of a terrorist organization. Comparing the data series and the data obtained by simulation, the paper examines the degree in which the model reproduces the incidents of the organization. After checking the usefulness of the model, different counter terrorist measures are tested in order to assess their effectiveness.
2016-10-10T12:51:24Z
2016-10-10T12:51:24Z
2011
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Anales de estudios económicos y empresariales, 2011, N.21, pags.227-243
0213-7569
http://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/19837
227
21
243
spa
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
application/pdf
Anales de estudios económicos y empresariales