2024-03-28T14:51:05Zhttp://uvadoc.uva.es/oai/requestoai:uvadoc.uva.es:10324/392772021-06-24T07:19:26Zcom_10324_36297com_10324_954com_10324_894col_10324_36298
Modelling of sectoral energy demand through energy intensities in MEDEAS integrated assessment model
Blas Sanz, Ignacio de
Miguel González, Luis Javier
Capellán Pérez, Iñigo
Energía
Energy intensity
5312.05 Energía
Producción Científica
The estimation of future energy demand is a key factor for the development of effective alternative policies towards a low carbon economy. This paper describes a novel method to estimate the energy demand in the new integrated assessment framework MEDEAS based on the projection of sectoral final energy intensities. The dynamic of each of the sectoral final energy intensity is broken down into (1) improvement in energy efficiency and (2) substitution of the final energy. The speed of changes in these factors depend on physical supply-demand unbalances in the market, climate mitigation and other energy saving policies and the perception of scarcity of the different economic agents. The simulated case studies in MEDEAS-World under the narrative of the Business-as-usual (BAU) scenario have allowed validating the model's robustness and showing the potentiality of its application.
European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 691287
Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (Project FJCI-2016-28833)
2019-11-19T12:13:37Z
2019-11-19T12:13:37Z
2019
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100419
Energy Strategy Reviews Volume 26, 2019, 100419
2211-4688
http://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/39277
eng
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19301117
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/691287
Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
application/pdf