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    Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem:https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67332

    Título
    On the precursor environments to mountain lee wave clouds in central Iberia under CMIP6 projections
    Autor
    Díaz Fernández, Javier
    Calvo Sancho, CarlosAutoridad UVA Orcid
    Bolgiani, Pedro
    González Alemán, Juan Jesús
    Farrán Martín, José IgnacioAutoridad UVA Orcid
    Sastre Marugan, MaríanoAutoridad UVA
    Martín Pérez, María LuisaAutoridad UVA Orcid
    Año del Documento
    2024
    Editorial
    MDPI
    Descripción
    Producción Científica
    Documento Fuente
    Atmosphere, 2024, Vol. 15, Nº. 1, 128
    Résumé
    Mountain lee waves present significant hazards to aviation, often inducing turbulence and aircraft icing. The current study focuses on understanding the potential impact of global climate change on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud episodes over central Iberia. We examine the suitability of several Global Climate Models (GCMs) from CMIP6 in predicting these environments using the ERA5 reanalysis as a benchmark for performance. The dataset is divided into two periods: historical data (2001–2014) and projections for the SSP5–8.5 future climate scenario (2015–2100). The variations and trends in precursor environments between historical data and future climate scenarios are exposed, with a particular focus on the expansion of the Azores High towards the Iberian Peninsula, resulting in increased zonal winds throughout the Iberian Peninsula in the future. However, the increase in zonal wind is insufficient to modify the wind pattern, so future mountain lee wave cloud events will not vary significantly. The relative humidity trends reveal no significant changes. Moreover, the risk of icing precursor environments connected with mountain lee wave clouds is expected to decrease in the future, due to rising temperatures. Our results highlight that the EC-EARTH3 GCM reveals the closest alignment with ERA5 data, and statistically significant differences between the historical and future climate scenario periods are presented, making EC-EARTH3 a robust candidate for conducting future studies on the precursor environments to mountain lee wave cloud events.
    Materias (normalizadas)
    Mountain lee waves
    CMIP6
    Meteorology
    Global climate models
    Climatology
    SSP5-8.5
    España - Clima
    Atmospheric sciences
    Materias Unesco
    2509 Meteorología
    2502 Climatología
    2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera
    ISSN
    2073-4433
    Revisión por pares
    SI
    DOI
    10.3390/atmos15010128
    Patrocinador
    Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación/Agencia Estatal de Investigación (AEI)/10.13039/501100011033 - (project PID2019-105306RB-I00)
    Version del Editor
    https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/15/1/128
    Propietario de los Derechos
    © 2024 The authors
    Idioma
    eng
    URI
    https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67332
    Tipo de versión
    info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
    Derechos
    openAccess
    Aparece en las colecciones
    • DEP51 - Artículos de revista [145]
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    On-the-Precursor-Environments-to-Mountain.pdf
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