RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article
T1 Terrorist incidents and counter terrorist policies: a system dynamics model
A1 Pajares de Mena, María del Mar
A2 Ediciones Universidad de Valladolid
K1 Economía política
K1 Economía de empresa
AB According to the Global Terrorism Database, Asia was the continent that suffers the highest number of terrorist attacks and the highest number of casualties during the period 1998-2007. One of the numerous terrorist organizations operating on its territory is Lashkar e Taiba (LeT) that was created in 1999. From its inception to 2007, it has staged ninety attacks generating 1,945 casualties. This paper presents a system dynamics model to try to reproduce the number of monthly incidents of that organization. The construction is carried out adapting to the organization those feedback processes that explain the survival over time of a terrorist organization. Comparing the data series and the data obtained by simulation, the paper examines the degree in which the model reproduces the incidents of the organization. After checking the usefulness of the model, different counter terrorist measures are tested in order to assess their effectiveness.
SN 0213-7569
YR 2011
FD 2011
LK http://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/19837
UL http://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/19837
LA spa
NO Anales de estudios económicos y empresariales, 2011, N.21, pags.227-243
DS UVaDOC
RD 23-nov-2024