RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article
T1 Modelling of sectoral energy demand through energy intensities in MEDEAS integrated assessment model
A1 Blas Sanz, Ignacio de
A1 Miguel González, Luis Javier
A1 Capellán Pérez, Iñigo
K1 Energía
K1 Energy intensity
K1 5312.05 Energía
AB The estimation of future energy demand is a key factor for the development of effective alternative policies towards a low carbon economy. This paper describes a novel method to estimate the energy demand in the new integrated assessment framework MEDEAS based on the projection of sectoral final energy intensities. The dynamic of each of the sectoral final energy intensity is broken down into (1) improvement in energy efficiency and (2) substitution of the final energy. The speed of changes in these factors depend on physical supply-demand unbalances in the market, climate mitigation and other energy saving policies and the perception of scarcity of the different economic agents. The simulated case studies in MEDEAS-World under the narrative of the Business-as-usual (BAU) scenario have allowed validating the model's robustness and showing the potentiality of its application.
SN 2211-4688
YR 2019
FD 2019
LK http://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/39277
UL http://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/39277
LA eng
NO Energy Strategy Reviews Volume 26, 2019, 100419
NO Producción Científica
DS UVaDOC
RD 18-nov-2024