RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article T1 Experimental analysis of the input variables’ relevance to forecast next day’s aggregated electric demand using neural networks A1 Hernández Callejo, Luis A1 Baladrón García, Carlos A1 Aguiar Pérez, Javier Manuel A1 Calavia, Lorena A1 Carro Martínez, Belén A1 Sánchez Esguevillas, Antonio Javier A1 García, Pablo A1 Lloret, Jaime K1 Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) K1 Aggregated load K1 Smart grid K1 Microgrids K1 Multilayer perceptron K1 33 Ciencias Tecnológicas AB Thanks to the built in intelligence (deployment of new intelligent devices and sensors in places where historically they were not present), the Smart Grid and Microgrid paradigms are able to take advantage from aggregated load forecasting, which opens the door for the implementation of new algorithms to seize this information for optimization and advanced planning. Therefore, accuracy in load forecasts will potentially have a big impact on key operation factors for the future Smart Grid/Microgrid-based energy network like user satisfaction and resource saving, and new methods to achieve an efficient prediction in future energy landscapes (very different from the centralized, big area networks studied so far). This paper proposes different improved models to forecast next day’s aggregated load using artificial neural networks, taking into account the variables that are most relevant. In particular, seven models based on the multilayer perceptron will be proposed, progressively adding input variables after analyzing the influence of climate factors on aggregated load. The results section presents the forecast from the proposed models, obtained from real data. PB MDPI SN 1996-1073 YR 2013 FD 2013 LK https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/57642 UL https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/57642 LA eng NO Energies, 2013, vol. 6, n. 6, p. 2927-2948 NO Producción Científica DS UVaDOC RD 24-nov-2024