RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article T1 Assessing vulnerability of reptile hotspots through temporal trends of global change factors in the Iberian Peninsula A1 Tarjuelo Mostajo, Rocío A1 Aragón, Pedro K1 Biodiversity conservation K1 Climate change K1 Land-use chang K1 Primary productivity K1 Protected areas K1 Species richness K1 24 Ciencias de la Vida K1 3106 Ciencia Forestal K1 25 Ciencias de la Tierra y del Espacio AB Habitat degradation and climate change are major threats to the long-term persistence of reptile populations. However, their roles on primary productivity instability remain unclear at certain scales. Besides, the design of protected areas has often overlooked reptiles or assumed that their ecological requirements are represented under the umbrella of more charismatic species. Here, we assess the vulnerability of areas of high diversity of reptiles in the Iberian Peninsula to global change using data from satellite imagery. We focused on primary productivity, climate and land-use change because they are indicators of environmental variability that might impair ecosystem functioning and alter wildlife communities. We used linear regressions to detect monotonic temporal trends in primary productivity (through the enhanced vegetation index, EVI) and climate (mean temperature and accumulated precipitation) at two spatial resolutions (10-km2 UTM squares and CORINE land-cover polygon level) over the period 2000–2020. We also determine how the strength of land-use and climate change affected the intensity of change in primary productivity at both spatial scales with multivariate linear regressions. We identified 339 hotspots (10-km2 UTM squares) and monotonic increments of temperature, EVI or both occurred in 43 %, 16 % and 22 % of them, respectively. Positive trends of the EVI were related to increasing temperatures and changes in shrubland and forest cover. Within the hotspots with monotonic increments in EVI and temperature, EVI increments occurred in 60 % of the CORINE polygons that did not change their land-cover type, with stronger increases in tree crops. Finally, the Natura 2000 network provides only moderate protection to reptile hotspots, being most of the vegetation types relatively underrepresented. The proportion of forest and shrubland protected by the Natura 2000 network was higher in hotspots where EVI changed. Our procedures are relevant to prioritize hotspots requiring ground monitoring that allows economic and time savings. PB Elsevier SN 0048-9697 YR 2023 FD 2023 LK https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/58520 UL https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/58520 LA eng NO Science of The Total Environment, 2023, vol. 871, 161917 NO Producción Científica DS UVaDOC RD 11-jul-2024