RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article
T1 Extending and validating a theoretical model to predict the effectiveness of building evacuations
A1 Miñambres del Moral, María Dolores
A1 Llanos Ferraris, Diego Rafael
A1 Gento Municio, Ángel Manuel
K1 Evacuation drills
K1 Regression analysis
K1 Dimensional analysis
K1 Dimensionless number
AB To predict the effectiveness of building evacuations is a very difficult task in the general case. In aprevious work, the historical results of 47 evacuation drills in 15 different university buildings,both academic and residential, involving more than 19 000 persons, was analyzed, and a methodbased on dimensional analysis and statistical regression was proposed to give an estimation of theexit time in case of evacuation. Comparing this estimated exit time with the real values obtainedin evacuation drills, more informed decisions on whether to invest in more training and/orpreventive culture of the occupants or to invest in structural improvements of the buildings can betaken. In this work, we both propose a refinement of the method to calculate expected exit times,that leads to an even better adjustment between predictions and real-world results, and we usethis refined model to predict the results of evacuations of a new building, whose use and characteristicsare different from those previously studied, and whose data was provided by otherauthors in the bibliography. We show that there exists a correlation between the published resultsand the predictions generated by our model, both from a quantitative and qualitative point ofview.
PB Elsevier
SN 2352-7102
YR 2022
FD 2022
LK https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/65194
UL https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/65194
LA eng
NO Journal of Building Engineering, July 2022, vol. 51, p. 104256.
DS UVaDOC
RD 11-jul-2024