RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article
T1 Dynamical Modelling of the Global Cement Production and Supply System, Assessing Climate Impacts of Different Future Scenarios
A1 Sverdrup, Harald Ulrik
A1 Olafsdottir, Anna Hulda
K1 Systems dynamics
K1 Systems dynamics
K1 Cement
K1 Concrete
K1 WORLD7
K1 Sustainability
K1 Climate change
K1 3322.05 Fuentes no Convencionales de Energía
AB The global cement and concrete demand, production, supply, and the general global market pricewas modelled using the WORLD7 model for different future scenarios. The model was used to analyzesome possible measures to reduce the climate impact of cement production. The main result from this study is that three factors may bring regulatory limitations to be imposed on cement production. The contribution of CO2 to the atmosphere, the amount of iron used in construction and the use of energy in production are the main factors that may cause limitations. Cement accounts for about 8% of the global CO2 emissions and energy use at present, and this fraction is projected by the simulations to continue to increase. To reduce CO2 emissions from cement production, ending fossil fuel use for calcination, combined with a change towards using mortar as an alternative for making concrete should be con-sidered. Our conclusion is that the long-term limitation for cement production is the availability of carbon-free energy, and the availability of iron for reinforcement bars. Eliminating the use of hydrocarbons for cement calcination may reduce the future the contribution from cement by 38%. Eliminating the use of hydrocarbons for calcination combined with substituting cement with mortar to 50%, the contribution to the future global average temperature increase is reduced by 62%. Eliminating the use of hydrocarbons for calcination combined with substituting cement with mortar to 90% is a reduction by 90% in the contribution from cement.
PB SpringerLink
SN 0049-6979
YR 2023
FD 2023
LK https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67493
UL https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67493
LA spa
NO Sverdrup, H.U., Olafsdottir, A.H. Dynamical Modelling of the Global Cement Production and Supply System, Assessing Climate Impacts of Different Future Scenarios. Water Air Soil Pollut 234, 191 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11270-023-06183-1
NO Producción Científica
DS UVaDOC
RD 18-nov-2024