RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article
T1 Capturing features of hourly-resolution energy models in an integrated assessment model: An application to the EU27 region
A1 Parrado Hernando, Gonzalo
A1 Herc, Luka
A1 Feijoo, Felipe
A1 Capellán Pérez, Iñigo
K1 EnergyPLAN
K1 WILIAM
K1 Integrated assessment model
K1 Energy planning Curtailment
K1 3322.05 Fuentes no Convencionales de Energía
AB Hourly resolution is essential to realistically address the matching of supply and demand for fluctuating energy sources like solar and wind. This work introduces a novel method to model energy variability in an Integrated Assessment Model building upon a previous work, where regression analysis was utilized to extract hourly-level information from an energy system model. The enhancements include: (1) improved experimental design and more efficient computing, and (2) modelling the management of variability in an integrated assessment model by (i) incorporating a portfolio of flexibility options, and (ii) offering the ability to regulate system curtailment by limiting the expansion of renewables. The scenarios focus on the electricity sector, mirroring current EU27's policies that aim for higher renewable energy and electrification contributions by 2050. Without any variability control measures, significant curtailment (up to 60 %) is observed, the introduction of flexibility options reducing it to half (30 %). Controlling the capacity expansion of renewables is introduced to avoid this unrealistically high curtailment, allowing the model to achieve a penetration of renewables in electricity of 80 % and a 53 % reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2015 levels in the electricity system. In conclusion, the methodology employed yields broadly consistent outcomes.
PB Elsevier
SN 0360-5442
YR 2024
FD 2024
LK https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/73109
UL https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/73109
LA eng
NO Energy, September 2024, vol. 304, 131903
NO Producción Científica
DS UVaDOC
RD 06-abr-2025