RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article
T1 Extending and validating a theoretical model to predict the effectiveness of building evacuations
A1 Miñambres Del Moral, María Dolores
A1 Llanos Ferraris, Diego Rafael
A1 Gento Municio, Ángel Manuel
K1 Informática
K1 Evacuation drills, Regression analysis, Dimensional analysis, Dimensionless number
K1 1203 Ciencia de Los Ordenadores
K1 3304 Tecnología de Los Ordenadores
AB To predict the effectiveness of building evacuations is a very difficult task in the general case. In a previous work, the historical results of 47 evacuation drills in 15 different university buildings, both academic and residential, involving more than 19 000 persons, was analyzed, and a method based on dimensional analysis and statistical regression was proposed to give an estimation of the exit time in case of evacuation. Comparing this estimated exit time with the real values obtained in evacuation drills, more informed decisions on whether to invest in more training and/or preventive culture of the occupants or to invest in structural improvements of the buildings can be taken. In this work, we both propose a refinement of the method to calculate expected exit times, that leads to an even better adjustment between predictions and real-world results, and we use this refined model to predict the results of evacuations of a new building, whose use and characteristics are different from those previously studied, and whose data was provided by other authors in the bibliography. We show that there exists a correlation between the published results and the predictions generated by our model, both from a quantitative and qualitative point of view.
PB Elsevier
SN 2352-7102
YR 2022
FD 2022
LK https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/83864
UL https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/83864
LA eng
NO Maria D. Miñambres, Diego R. Llanos, Angel M. Gento, Extending and validating a theoretical model to predict the effectiveness of building evacuations, Journal of Building Engineering, Volume 51, 2022, ISSN 2352-7102.
NO Producción Científica
DS UVaDOC
RD 29-mar-2026