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Título
Less than 2°C? An Economic-Environmental Evaluation of the Paris Agreement
Año del Documento
2018
Editorial
Elsevier
Descripción
Producción Científica
Documento Fuente
Ecological Economics Volume 146, 2018, Pages 69-84
Resumo
The literature dedicated to the analysis of the different climate agreements has usually focused on the effectiveness of the aims for emissions in the light of the advance in climate change. This article quantifies the variation in emissions that the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) will entail and their financial allocation and policies country-by-country and regionally. The objective is evaluating the Paris Agreement feasibility regarding the INDCs and its economic and environmental constraints. The criteria through which the 161 INDCs are analysed are as follows: i/ socio-economic impact of the transition; ii/ focus on energy management; iii/ substitution of non-renewable sources; iv/ the role of technology; v/ equality of the transition; vi/ compliance with emission reductions. The results obtained show that the Paris Agreement excessively relies on external financial support (41.4%). Moreover, its unilateralist approach, the socio-economic and biophysical constraints could be the underlying cause of the ineffectiveness of the 2 °C objective. This way, each country would emit an average of 37.8% more than in the years 2005–2015. When this is weighted, the figure would be a 19.3% increase, due mainly to the increases in China and India. These figures would lead the temperatures up to 3°–4 °C.
Materias Unesco
2502 Climatología
Palabras Clave
Climate change
Climate policy
Climate finance
ISSN
0921-8009
Revisión por pares
SI
Patrocinador
European project H2020-LCE-2015-2 (691287)
Patrocinador
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/691287
Version del Editor
Propietario de los Derechos
© 2017 Elsevier
Idioma
eng
Tipo de versión
info:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersion
Derechos
openAccess
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