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Título
Quantifying the reductions in mortality from air-pollution by cancelling new coal power plants
Autor
Año del Documento
2024
Editorial
Elsevier
Descripción
Producción Científica
Documento Fuente
Energy and Climate Change, Diciembre 2021, n. 2
Abstract
Deep decarbonization paths to the 1.5 °C or 2 °C temperature stabilization futures require a rapid reduction in coal-fired power plants, but many countries are continuing to build new ones. Coal-fired plants are also a major contributor to air pollution related health impacts. Here, we couple an integrated human-earth system model (GCAM) with an air quality model (TM5-FASST) to examine regional health co-benefits from cancelling new coal- fired plants worldwide. Our analysis considers the evolution of pollutants control based on coal plants vintage and regional policies. We find that cancelling all new proposed projects would decrease air pollution related premature mortality between 101,388–213,205 deaths (2–5%) in 2030, and 213,414–373,054 (5–8%) in 2050, globally, but heavily concentrated in developing Asia. These health co-benefits are comparable in magnitude to the values obtained by implementing the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Furthermore, we estimate that strengthening the climate target from 2 °C to 1.5 °C would avoid 326,351 additional mortalities in 2030, of which 251,011 (75%) are attributable to the incremental coal plant shutdown.
Materias (normalizadas)
Medio ambiente
Materias Unesco
2509.02 Contaminación Atmosférica
3308.01 Control de la Contaminación Atmosférica
Palabras Clave
Coal-fired power plants
Integrated assessment
Air quality
Premature mortality
Deep decarbonization
ISSN
2666-2787
Revisión por pares
SI
Patrocinador
Supported by Basque Government (BERC 2018-2021; PRE_2017_2_0139) and the Spanish State Research Agency through María de Maeztu Excellence Unit accreditation 2018-2022 (MDM-2017-0714). Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities (RTI2018-099858- A-100 and RTI2018-093352-B-I00); the Ministry of the Economy and Competitiveness of Spain (PID2019-106822RB-I00); and the project LO- COMOTION H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2 (No 821105).
Propietario de los Derechos
Elsevier
Idioma
spa
Tipo de versión
info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
Derechos
openAccess
Collections
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