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    • Instituto de Investigación en Matemáticas (IMUVA)
    • IMUVA - Artículos de Revista
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    Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem:https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/80052

    Título
    Nonautonomous modelling in energy balance models of climate. Limitations of averaging and climate sensitivity
    Autor
    Longo, Iacopo P.
    Obaya, RafaelAutoridad UVA
    Sanz, Ana M.
    Año del Documento
    2026
    Editorial
    Elsevier
    Documento Fuente
    Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, January 2006, 485, 135038.
    Abstract
    Starting from a classical Budyko-Sellers-Ghil energy balance model for the average surface temperature of the Earth, a nonautonomous version is designed by allowing the solar irradiance and the cloud cover coefficients to vary with time on a fast timescale, and to exhibit chaos in a precise sense. The dynamics of this model is described in terms of three existing nonautonomous equilibria, the upper one being attracting and representing the present temperature profile. The theory of averaging is used to compare the nonautonomous model and its time-averaged version. We analyse the influence of the qualitative properties of the time-dependent coefficients and obtain reasonable approximations close to the upper hyperbolic solution. Furthermore, previous concepts of two-point response and sensitivity functions are adapted to the nonautonomous context and used to value the increase in temperature when a forcing caused by CO_2 and other emissions intervenes.
    Palabras Clave
    Energy balance model, nonautonomous dynamics, averaging theory, climate sensitivity.
    ISSN
    0167-2789
    Revisión por pares
    SI
    DOI
    10.1016/j.physd.2025.135038
    Patrocinador
    All authors were partly supported by MICIIN/FEDER project PID2021-125446NB I00 and by the University of Valladolid under project PIP-TCESC-2020. I.P. Longo was also partly supported by UKRI under the grant agreement EP/X027651/1.
    Version del Editor
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167278925005159
    Idioma
    eng
    URI
    https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/80052
    Tipo de versión
    info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
    Derechos
    openAccess
    Collections
    • IMUVA - Artículos de Revista [114]
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    Universidad de Valladolid

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