Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem:https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/65194
Título
Extending and validating a theoretical model to predict the effectiveness of building evacuations
Año del Documento
2022
Editorial
Elsevier
Documento Fuente
Journal of Building Engineering, July 2022, vol. 51, p. 104256.
Zusammenfassung
To predict the effectiveness of building evacuations is a very difficult task in the general case. In a
previous work, the historical results of 47 evacuation drills in 15 different university buildings,
both academic and residential, involving more than 19 000 persons, was analyzed, and a method
based on dimensional analysis and statistical regression was proposed to give an estimation of the
exit time in case of evacuation. Comparing this estimated exit time with the real values obtained
in evacuation drills, more informed decisions on whether to invest in more training and/or
preventive culture of the occupants or to invest in structural improvements of the buildings can be
taken. In this work, we both propose a refinement of the method to calculate expected exit times,
that leads to an even better adjustment between predictions and real-world results, and we use
this refined model to predict the results of evacuations of a new building, whose use and characteristics
are different from those previously studied, and whose data was provided by other
authors in the bibliography. We show that there exists a correlation between the published results
and the predictions generated by our model, both from a quantitative and qualitative point of
view.
Palabras Clave
Evacuation drills
Regression analysis
Dimensional analysis
Dimensionless number
ISSN
2352-7102
Revisión por pares
SI
Patrocinador
This work was supported in part by the Spanish Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad and by the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) program of the European Union, PCAS Project, under Grant TIN2017-88614-R, in part by the Junta de Castilla y Le´on - FEDER Grants, PROPHET and PROPHET-2 Projects under Grant VA082P17 and Grant VA226P20, and in part by the INVESTUN-18-VA-0001 (PERIL II Project), Consejería de Empleo, Junta de Castilla y Le´on, Spain.
Idioma
eng
Tipo de versión
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Derechos
openAccess
Aparece en las colecciones
Dateien zu dieser Ressource
Solange nicht anders angezeigt, wird die Lizenz wie folgt beschrieben: CC0 1.0 Universal