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dc.contributor.authorSampedro, Jon
dc.contributor.authorWaldhoff, Stephanie T.
dc.contributor.authorVan de Ven, Dirk-Jan
dc.contributor.authorPardo, Guillermo
dc.contributor.authorVan Dingenen, Rita
dc.contributor.authorArto, Iñaki
dc.contributor.authordel Prado, Agustín
dc.contributor.authorMaria Jose Sanz, Maria José
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-08T07:36:33Z
dc.date.available2024-05-08T07:36:33Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.identifier.citationAtmospheric Environment, Abril, 2020, n. 231es
dc.identifier.issn1352-2310es
dc.identifier.urihttps://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/67422
dc.descriptionProducción Científica
dc.description.abstractCurrent ozone (O3) concentration levels entail significant damages in crop yields around the world. The reaction of the emitted precursors (mostly methane and nitrogen oxides) with solar radiation contribute to O3 levels that exceed established thresholds for crop damage. This paper shows current and projected (up to 2080) relativeyield losses (RYLs) driven by O3 exposure for different crops and the associated economic damages applying dynamic crop production and prices that are calculated per region and period. We adjust future crop yields in the Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM) to reflect the RYLs and analyze the effects on agricultural markets. We find that the changes (generally reductions) in O3 precursor emissions in a reference scenario would reduce the agricultural damages, compared to present, for most of the regions, with a few exceptions including India, where higher future O3 concentrations have large negative impacts on crop yields. The annual economic impact of O3 driven losses from 2010 to 2080 are, in billion US dollars at 2015 prices ($B), 5.0–6.0, 9.8–18.8, 6.7–10.6 and 10.4–12.5 for corn, soybeans, rice and wheat, respectively, with the large losses for wheat and soybeans driven by their comparatively high responses to O3. When O3 effects are explicitly modelled as exogenous yield shocks in future periods, there is a direct impact in future agricultural markets. Therefore, the aggregated net present value (NPV) of crop production would be reduced around by $90.8 B at a global level. However, these changes are not distributed evenly across regions, and the net present market value of the crops would increase by up to $118.2 B (India) or decrease by up to $59.2 B (China).es
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfes
dc.language.isospaes
dc.publisherElsevieres
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesses
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/*
dc.subjectMedio ambientees
dc.subject.classificationOzonees
dc.subject.classificationYield damageses
dc.subject.classificationAgricultural systemses
dc.subject.classificationIntegrated assessmentes
dc.titleFuture impacts of ozone driven damages on agricultural systemses
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlees
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117538es
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231020302739?via%3Dihubes
dc.peerreviewedSIes
dc.description.projectBasque Government through the BERC 2018–2021 and the Spanish Government through María de Maeztu excellence accreditation MDM-2017-0714. US Environmental Protection Agency, under Interagency Agreement DW08992459801. Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness of Spain (RTI2018-099858-A- 100 and RTI2018-093352-B-I00). support from the Basque Government (PRE_2017_2_0139). The European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement no. 821105 (LOCOMOTION project). Financed by the programme Ramon y Cajal from the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (RYC-2017-22143).es
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internacional*
dc.type.hasVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersiones
dc.subject.unesco5312.05 Energíaes
dc.subject.unesco3308 Ingeniería y Tecnología del Medio Ambientees
dc.subject.unesco5102.01 Agriculturaes


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