Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem:http://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/39272
Título
Macroeconomic modelling under energy constraints: Global low carbon transition scenarios
Autor
Año del Documento
2019
Editorial
Elsevier
Descripción
Producción Científica
Documento Fuente
Energy Policy, 2019, 111090 (In Press)
Abstract
Integrated Assessment Models provide a framework to study sustainability transitions and their economic impacts. Models seldom consider energy constraints, taking supply availability for granted and thus suggesting a mere change in the energy mix from non-renewables to renewables. In order to address these limitations, a macro-economic module within a broader system dynamics model (MEDEAS) has been developed. The model has been run for the whole world from 1995 to 2050 under three different scenarios: Business as Usual (BAU), considering no further transition policies and keeping current trends; Green Growth (GG), undertaking the low-carbon transition according to the Paris Agreement set of policies and with high GDP growth standards; and Post-Growth (PG), testing the sustainability transition under a GDP non-growth/degrowth approach. The results reveal the conflict between economic growth, climate policy and the sustainability of resources. Whereas a BAU approach would not even be an option to achieve climate goals, a GG view would not only face the downsizing of economic output, but neither would it be able to achieve the 2 °C objective. The success of the PG approach in meeting emissions objectives suggests a redirection from economic growth policies to an industrial policy that incorporates efficiency and redistribution.
Materias Unesco
5312.05 Energía
Palabras Clave
Política energética
Política climática
Energy policy
Climate policy
ISSN
0301-4215
Revisión por pares
SI
Patrocinador
European project H2020-LCE-2015-2 (691287)
Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (Project ECO2017-85110-R)
Ministerio de Economía, Industria y Competitividad (Project ECO2017-85110-R)
Patrocinador
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/691287
Propietario de los Derechos
© 2019 Elsevier
Idioma
eng
Tipo de versión
info:eu-repo/semantics/submittedVersion
Derechos
openAccess
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