Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem:https://uvadoc.uva.es/handle/10324/80052
Título
Nonautonomous modelling in energy balance models of climate. Limitations of averaging and climate sensitivity
Año del Documento
2026
Editorial
Elsevier
Documento Fuente
Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, January 2006, 485, 135038.
Zusammenfassung
Starting from a classical Budyko-Sellers-Ghil energy balance model for the average surface temperature of the Earth, a nonautonomous version is designed by allowing the solar irradiance and the cloud cover coefficients to vary with time on a fast timescale, and to exhibit chaos in a precise sense. The dynamics of this model is described in terms of three existing nonautonomous equilibria, the upper one being attracting and representing the present temperature profile. The theory of averaging is used to compare the nonautonomous model and its time-averaged version. We analyse the influence of the qualitative properties of the time-dependent coefficients and obtain reasonable approximations close to the upper hyperbolic solution. Furthermore, previous concepts of two-point response and sensitivity functions are adapted to the nonautonomous context and used to value the increase in temperature when a forcing caused by CO_2 and other emissions intervenes.
Palabras Clave
Energy balance model, nonautonomous dynamics, averaging theory, climate sensitivity.
ISSN
0167-2789
Revisión por pares
SI
Patrocinador
All authors were partly supported by MICIIN/FEDER project PID2021-125446NB I00 and by the University of Valladolid under project PIP-TCESC-2020. I.P. Longo was also partly supported by UKRI under the grant agreement EP/X027651/1.
Version del Editor
Idioma
eng
Tipo de versión
info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
Derechos
openAccess
Aparece en las colecciones
Dateien zu dieser Ressource









